U.S. Bellwether Counties That Correctly Predict Every President Since at Least 1964 Vote for Trump by Average of 16%

Headlines Politics U.S.

Voting in six U.S. counties across five states has correctly predicted the winner in presidential elecitons since at least 1964. One of counties’ streaks started in 1956, and one in 1952.

Those five counties located in New Mexico, Indiana, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin all overwhelmingly supported President Trump in 2020. Trump’s average margin of victory in those counties was 16%. One of the counties supported him with a 30% margin of victory.

The counties and their margins of victory are:

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